{"id":42479,"date":"2026-03-02T11:00:30","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T10:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/?p=42479"},"modified":"2026-02-27T11:50:39","modified_gmt":"2026-02-27T10:50:39","slug":"climate-change-water-arctic","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/environment\/climate-change-water-arctic\/","title":{"rendered":"It isn&#8217;t just a matter of melting ice: here&#8217;s how climate change is reshaping Arctic aquifers"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Beneath the surface of the Arctic permafrost, an entire hydrological system is reorganizing. A Canadian study reveals where the soil will become drier and where moisture will increase<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">by Matteo Cavallito<\/p>\n<p>In the Arctic region, climate change is not only impacting the ice but also the dynamics of <strong>groundwater<\/strong>. This is the conclusion of a <a href=\"https:\/\/iopscience.iop.org\/article\/10.1088\/1748-9326\/ae358e\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">study<\/a> by <strong>Dalhousie University<\/strong> in Halifax, Canada, which revealed how <strong>aquifers<\/strong>\u2014the permeable layers of soil that feed rivers, lakes, and terrestrial ecosystems\u2014are reacting to rising temperatures.<\/p>\n<p>Using maps of climate, soil properties, topography, and <a href=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/environment\/microbes-permafrost-released-carbon\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">permafrost<\/a>, scientists showed that most shallow aquifers drain slowly. This helps keep groundwater close to the surface, keeping the <strong>soil<\/strong> and related ecosystems <strong>moist<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<div class='avia-iframe-wrap'>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"Q6GLOJoYWB\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/arctic-soil-permafrost-emissions\/\">Here&#8217;s how Arctic soil offsets emissions from alpine permafrost<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8220;Here&#8217;s how Arctic soil offsets emissions from alpine permafrost&#8221; &#8212; Re Soil Foundation\" src=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/arctic-soil-permafrost-emissions\/embed\/#?secret=YN2cbxtVk1#?secret=Q6GLOJoYWB\" data-secret=\"Q6GLOJoYWB\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<h5>The Arctic is not just a block of ice<\/h5>\n<p>The Arctic is often imagined as a compact block of ice and permanently frozen ground, impermeable to water. However, during the summer, the <strong>upper layer of permafrost<\/strong>\u2014the so-called \u201cactive layer\u201d\u2014<strong>thaws<\/strong>, allowing water to infiltrate and circulate underground. As a result, the scientists explain, the warmer the summer, the larger the unfrozen area in which groundwater can flow.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>In other words, warming <strong>makes soil more permeable<\/strong>, changing the amount of water that can be stored and transmitted.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>This process, combined with other factors, has clear consequences for overall <strong>systemic balances<\/strong>. \u201cThe changing Arctic climate is affecting groundwater flow and storage in supra-permafrost aquifers due to groundwater recharge changes and thaw-driven alterations to aquifer properties and connectivity,\u201d highlights the research published in Environmental Research Letters. \u201cChanges to <strong>shallow subsurface hydrological processes<\/strong> can drive extensive ecological and biogeochemical changes in addition to potential surface hydrologic regime shifts.\u201d<\/p>\n<div class='avia-iframe-wrap'>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"HKRmTfo6zy\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/near-surface-permafrost-loss-2100\/\">Superficial permafrost could (almost) disappear by 2100<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8220;Superficial permafrost could (almost) disappear by 2100&#8221; &#8212; Re Soil Foundation\" src=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/near-surface-permafrost-loss-2100\/embed\/#?secret=PzWlA4Uhkv#?secret=HKRmTfo6zy\" data-secret=\"HKRmTfo6zy\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<h5>Alaska and Siberia are the two opposite sides of the phenomenon<\/h5>\n<p>Using open source data to characterize aquifers and then applying climate models, researchers have shown how warming and changes in <strong>precipitation patterns<\/strong> are altering groundwater patterns. By the end of the century, these changes could lead to a lowering of aquifers and the drying up of <strong>more than 5%<\/strong> of the Arctic land surface.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>At the same time, <strong>11% of the region&#8217;s surface area<\/strong> will experience a rise in groundwater levels, resulting in increased soil moisture.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>These changes could also reshape ecosystems and the <a href=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/environment\/microbes-soil-carbon-cycle\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">carbon cycle<\/a>, affecting the availability of freshwater resources. In coastal areas, rising sea levels will further increase groundwater levels, promoting the <strong>intrusion of salt water<\/strong>. Finally, not all areas will react in the same way: <strong>Alaska<\/strong>, for example, will experience wetter landscapes. Other areas, such as much of western <strong>Siberia<\/strong>, will have deeper groundwater and drier surface conditions in the future.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_42461\" style=\"width: 1135px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-42461\" class=\"size-full wp-image-42461\" src=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/falde.jpg\" alt=\"Figura 1. Le falde acquifere sopra il permafrost possono essere caratterizzate da alta (a) o bassa(b) permeabilit\u00e0. Le condizioni costiere (c), come l'innalzamento della falda e la salinit\u00e0 del sottosuolo, sono influenzate dal livello del mare e dalla permeabilit\u00e0. L'innalzamento delle acque marine (d) pu\u00f2 provocare un movimento analogo della falda freatica in prossimit\u00e0 della costa e l'intrusione verso l'entroterra del cuneo salino sotterraneo. Fonte: Bay Berry et al 2026 &quot;Classifying pan-Arctic supra-permafrost aquifer function under present and projected conditions&quot; https:\/\/iopscience.iop.org\/article\/10.1088\/1748-9326\/ae358e, Environ. Res. Lett. 21 024017 \" width=\"1125\" height=\"1103\" srcset=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/falde.jpg 1125w, https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/falde-300x294.jpg 300w, https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/falde-1030x1010.jpg 1030w, https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/falde-768x753.jpg 768w, https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/falde-36x36.jpg 36w, https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/falde-705x691.jpg 705w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1125px) 100vw, 1125px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-42461\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Aquifers above permafrost can experience either high (a) or low (b) permeability. Coastal conditions (c), such as groundwater rise and subsurface salinity, are influenced by sea level and permeability. Rising sea levels (d) can cause a similar movement of the water table near the coast and the intrusion of the underground salt wedge inland. Source: Bay Berry et al 2026 &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/iopscience.iop.org\/article\/10.1088\/1748-9326\/ae358e\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Classifying pan-Arctic supra-permafrost aquifer function under present and projected conditions<\/a>&#8220;, Environ. Res. Lett. 21 024017<\/p><\/div>\n<h5>Implications for plant and animal distribution<\/h5>\n<p>The implications are far-reaching. The study describes a <strong>hydrologically diverse Arctic<\/strong> in which groundwater will reshape the very geography of the region. Understanding where these changes will be most intense and where uncertainties remain is therefore essential for monitoring and predicting the evolution of this environment.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cChanges to northern aquifer systems matter because they control how rain and snowmelt are conveyed through Arctic landscapes and can influence soil moisture and vegetation,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dal.ca\/news\/2026\/02\/02\/canada-arctic-aquifers.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">said<\/a> Dr. <strong>Barret Kurylyk<\/strong>, Associate Professor, Canada Research Chair in Coastal Water Resources at Dalhousie University who contributed to the study. \u201cBecause aquifers\u202fand groundwater flow patterns strongly influence where wetlands occur as well as river flow\u201d he concludes, \u201cthese findings have implications for the future distribution of surface water and\u202freliant <strong>vegetation and animal species\u202f<\/strong>in northern landscapes.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Beneath the surface of the Arctic permafrost, an entire hydrological system is reorganizing. A Canadian study reveals where the soil will become drier and where moisture will increase<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":42484,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[144,134],"tags":[187,302,318,49,303,204,321,188,322],"class_list":["post-42479","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-environment","category-articles","tag-climate","tag-climate-2-en","tag-dissesto-idrogeologico-en","tag-ecosistemi","tag-ecosystems-2-en","tag-ecosystems","tag-erosione-en","tag-research","tag-suolo-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Here&#039;s how climate change is reshaping Arctic aquifers<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"5% of the Arctic will experience lowering groundwater levels and drying, while 11% will 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