{"id":37924,"date":"2025-01-29T11:00:41","date_gmt":"2025-01-29T10:00:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/?p=37924"},"modified":"2025-01-29T09:15:33","modified_gmt":"2025-01-29T08:15:33","slug":"boreal-forest-climate-fire","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/environment\/boreal-forest-climate-fire\/","title":{"rendered":"More homogeneity and fires are coming for boreal forests"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>According to a Wageningen University study, forests in the Northern Hemisphere will become increasingly similar to each other due to climate change. This will also increase the risk of forest fires<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">by Matteo Cavallito<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Global warming is impacting <strong>boreal forests<\/strong>, which are set to change their appearance with important consequences including increased vulnerability to <a href=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/brazilian-amazon-fires-increase\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">fires<\/a>. The hypothesis was presented in recent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pnas.org\/doi\/10.1073\/pnas.2404391121\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">research<\/a> from <strong>Wageningen University<\/strong> in the Netherlands, which examined the dynamics occurring in these peculiar environments that characterize the vast expanses of Canada, Alaska and Siberia as well as forests located in the lower latitudes of the hemisphere. These are crucial ecosystems, of course, that provide important services starting with <strong>biodiversity<\/strong> conservation and carbon storage in soils and trees.<\/p>\n<div class='avia-iframe-wrap'>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"TiexXZ1qEa\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/artic-climate-siberia-wildfires\/\">A warmer Arctic fuels Siberian wildfires<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8220;A warmer Arctic fuels Siberian wildfires&#8221; &#8212; Re Soil Foundation\" src=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/artic-climate-siberia-wildfires\/embed\/#?secret=i8JDVjwxaR#?secret=TiexXZ1qEa\" data-secret=\"TiexXZ1qEa\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<h5>Northern forests become denser<\/h5>\n<p>\u201cForests growing at the southern boreal distribution range may not be able to maintain the current amount of trees as climate becomes drier and warmer. Therefore, they may become less dense,\u201d <strong>Ronny Rotbarth<\/strong>, researcher and co-author of the study, explains in a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wur.nl\/en\/research-results\/research-institutes\/environmental-research\/show-wenr\/changing-boreal-tree-densities-lead-to-higher-wildfire-risk-and-alter-crucial-forest-functions.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">statement<\/a>. \u201cOther forests, in the cold north, <strong>could support more trees<\/strong> as conditions warm up, and in fact become denser than the forests we currently find there.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Complex simulation models are needed to study future ecosystem changes, the authors recall. This research was no exception although, in this case, the scientists used a new approach based on <strong>assessing tree cover density<\/strong>. Gathering available data from the past two decades, the researchers observed changes in the concentration of plants and consequently hypothesized trends up to the year 2100.<\/p>\n<div class='avia-iframe-wrap'>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"BwPpwFzvZL\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/natural-restored-forests-co2\/\">Forests restored by nature can sequester 23 billion tonnes of CO2<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8220;Forests restored by nature can sequester 23 billion tonnes of CO2&#8221; &#8212; Re Soil Foundation\" src=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/natural-restored-forests-co2\/embed\/#?secret=XFexOPmUMQ#?secret=BwPpwFzvZL\" data-secret=\"BwPpwFzvZL\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<h5>The transition is already underway<\/h5>\n<p>\u201cWe apply an innovative modeling approach to project that global boreal forests will undergo a fundamental transition toward <strong>an open forest state<\/strong> of 30 to 50% tree cover in the coming decades,\u201d the research states. \u201cWe present evidence that such a transition is already underway.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The results, in other words, indicate that global boreal forests could take on a more homogeneous appearance than the current one that sees the presence of both particularly dense areas, with tree cover affecting <strong>more than 60 percent of the land<\/strong>, and other decidedly sparse areas where the land covered by trees is between 5 and 15 percent of the total. In short: while the coverage of warmer boreal forests decreases that of cooler forests in the same hemisphere increases. And not without consequences.<\/p>\n<section id=\"executive-summary-abstract\" role=\"doc-abstract\">\n<div role=\"paragraph\"><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<section id=\"abstract\" role=\"doc-abstract\"><\/section>\n<p>https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/environment\/heat-drought-carbon-forest\/<\/p>\n<h5>The impact on fires<\/h5>\n<p>This gradual convergence toward a single forest pattern, in particular, results in a <strong>greater propensity for wildfires<\/strong>. \u201cThe currently dominating sparse and dense forest types burn less frequently than the open type,\u201d explains <strong>Milena Holmgren<\/strong>, one of the study&#8217;s authors. \u201cSparse forests typically do not provide enough fuel for fires to burn and dense forests create micro-climates which prevent forest fires.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>However, she adds, \u201cThe open type we project meets the sweet spot and could lead to <strong>more fires than we observe at present<\/strong>. The crucial functions of boreal forests would in this case be at risk.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<div class='avia-iframe-wrap'>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"8tFRDuJbgj\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/permafrost-erosion-co2-oceans\/\">Permafrost erosion reduces carbon sequestration in the oceans<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"&#8220;Permafrost erosion reduces carbon sequestration in the oceans&#8221; &#8212; Re Soil Foundation\" src=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/permafrost-erosion-co2-oceans\/embed\/#?secret=SIN2Idf3SC#?secret=8tFRDuJbgj\" data-secret=\"8tFRDuJbgj\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<h5>On balance, carbon release could increase<\/h5>\n<p>According to the research, increased fire risk would result in \u201c<strong>potentially substantial releases of stored carbon<\/strong>.\u201d According to the survey, in particular, ongoing changes in boreal forests are expected to result in an 11.4 percent increase in trees&#8217; sequestration of the element by the end of the century. \u201cDespite the expected net increase in aboveground biomass carbon,\u201d the study points out, however, \u201dthe overall future of boreal forests could well be characterized by a carbon release.\u201d Three causes identified:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>\u201cFirst, the net increase of aboveground carbon <strong>will eventually level off<\/strong> with tree density and when forests reach their northern terrestrial limits at the Arctic Ocean.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Second, \u201cfuture forests may be <strong>shorter in height<\/strong> and thus store less biomass for any given tree cover density. Last, forest expansions in the cold boreal will partly be enabled by a <strong>shrinkage in permafrost extent<\/strong> as a result of warming.\u201d Indeed, the thawing of <a href=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/permafrost-microbes-climate-change\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">permafrost<\/a> would ultimately <strong>release large amounts of carbon<\/strong> from the soil to an extent greater than the additional uptake by surface biomass in most of the boreal biome.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Secondo uno studio della Wageningen University le foreste dell&#8217;emisfero settentrionale saranno sempre pi\u00f9 simili tra loro a causa dei cambiamenti climatici. In questo modo aumenter\u00e0 anche il rischio di incendi boschivi<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":37929,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[144,134],"tags":[220,187,165,281,188,163],"class_list":["post-37924","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-environment","category-articles","tag-carbon","tag-climate","tag-forests","tag-incendi-en","tag-research","tag-usa-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>More homogeneity and fires are coming for boreal forests<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The research looked at 20 years of satellite data on tree cover in Boreal forests to predict future changes\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, 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