{"id":23820,"date":"2023-03-01T11:01:26","date_gmt":"2023-03-01T10:01:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/articles\/asia-centrale-siccita-agricola\/"},"modified":"2023-03-15T09:46:50","modified_gmt":"2023-03-15T08:46:50","slug":"central-asia-agricultural-drought","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/agricultural-industry\/central-asia-agricultural-drought\/","title":{"rendered":"Central Asia will keep on suffering from agricultural drought for a long time"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Chinese researchers believe that soil drought linked to climate change can no longer be offset by weather cycles. A challenge for the region&#8217;s crops and economy<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">by Matteo Cavallito<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Agricultural drought that hit <strong>Central Asia<\/strong> two years ago is not an independent event but rather a symptom of a long-term trend that may find further confirmation in the future. This is supported by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41561-022-01111-0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a study<\/a> by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP) of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, which analyzed the trend and hypothesized its evolution in the coming years.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;<strong>Agricultural drought<\/strong> refers to soil moisture deficits, which is closely related to meteorological factor changes and usually happens after meteorological drought,&#8221; <strong>Jiang Jie<\/strong>, lead author of the research, said in <a href=\"https:\/\/english.cas.cn\/newsroom\/research_news\/earth\/202301\/t20230113_326305.shtml\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">a statement<\/a> released by the Academy. According to the scientists, a decisive role belongs to the so-called anthropogenic external forces, that is, the set of human-led actions that, together with the natural variability of the climate system, have led to the intensification of this trend since the 1990s.<\/p>\n<div class='avia-iframe-wrap'>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"McXmgjGuMD\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/sand-cellulose-china-desert\/\">China is fighting desertification by adding cellulose to sand<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;China is fighting desertification by adding cellulose to sand&#8221; &#8212; Re Soil Foundation\" src=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/sand-cellulose-china-desert\/embed\/#?secret=FxkfAMGlIZ#?secret=McXmgjGuMD\" data-secret=\"McXmgjGuMD\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<h5>Human factor is crucial<\/h5>\n<p>Published in Nature Geoscience, the study was based on <strong>several experiments<\/strong> including observations and large-scale simulations provided by the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research, the Max Planck Institute in Munich, Germany, and Australia&#8217;s Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>&#8220;<strong>The anthropogenic external forcing<\/strong> includes anthropogenic changes in greenhouses gases, aerosols, and <strong>land use<\/strong>, etc.,&#8221; Jiang explained.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Emissions, in particular, have caused rapid warming throughout Central Asia, leading to increased evaporation and a subsequent reduction in soil moisture. As well as <a href=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/chinese-seabuckthorn-desertification\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">notoriously promoting desertification<\/a>. Added to this are the effects of a natural phenomenon known as <strong>IPO &#8211; Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation<\/strong> that impacts the temperature of the northern and southern waters of the ocean by following 20- or 30-year cycles.<\/p>\n<p>Pubblicato su <em>Nature Geoscience<\/em>, lo studio si \u00e8 basato su <strong>diverse sperimentazioni <\/strong>tra cui le osservazioni e le simulazioni di grandi dimensioni fornite dal National Center for Atmospheric Research degli Stati Uniti, dal Max Planck Institute di Monaco di Baviera, in Germania, e dalla Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization australiana.<\/p>\n<div class='avia-iframe-wrap'>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"xOU5zu0ztj\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/china-soil-analysis\/\">China will provide an updated soil survey by 2025<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;China will provide an updated soil survey by 2025&#8221; &#8212; Re Soil Foundation\" src=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/china-soil-analysis\/embed\/#?secret=rWlqIeylyc#?secret=xOU5zu0ztj\" data-secret=\"xOU5zu0ztj\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<h5>Weather cycles no longer offset climate change<\/h5>\n<p>In the so-called positive phases of the IPO, the surface temperature of the tropical Pacific is higher than average; the surface temperature of the northern part remains cooler. In the negative phases, the trend reverses: the northern seas warm while the southern seas experience a drop in temperatures.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Since the 1990s, <strong>sea surface cooling<\/strong> in the East-Central tropical Pacific has led to a reduction in spring precipitation in South-Central Asia leading to a drop in soil moisture at the beginning of the growing season.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The problem, the scientists notice, is that given human-caused global warming, future reversals in the IPO may not be sufficient to counterbalance <strong>the worsening drought<\/strong> over the century. Even a rise in sea temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean belt, in short, &#8220;could not counterbalance the human-induced drying trend over Central Asia,&#8221; pointed out <strong>Zhou Tianjun<\/strong>, professor and co-author of the research.<\/p>\n<div class='avia-iframe-wrap'>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"xzXfSva3uO\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/china-black-soil-campaign\/\">China launches anti-erosion black soil campaign<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;China launches anti-erosion black soil campaign&#8221; &#8212; Re Soil Foundation\" src=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/china-black-soil-campaign\/embed\/#?secret=N36jvLg6QQ#?secret=xzXfSva3uO\" data-secret=\"xzXfSva3uO\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<h5>The consequences of drought<\/h5>\n<p>Agricultural drought is not the only issue. Also worrysome are the &#8220;increasing risks of meteorological drought and hydrological drought in southern Central Asia.&#8221; This calls for &#8220;developing <strong>a thorough risk-management plan<\/strong> at sectoral, local, country and even multi-country levels to adapt and mitigate the enhanced agricultural droughts for food security and livestock production.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>In Central Asia, agriculture and livestock are the sectors that <strong>contribute the most to GDP<\/strong>, the authors explain. Therefore, &#8220;The increasingly serious agricultural droughts not only directly influence crops and livestock but are also a challenge for production, living, ecological environments, social stability and even regional security.&#8221; An inevitable consequence of a phenomenon that cannot be stopped, &#8220;unless we take<strong> ambitious climate action<\/strong> and reach global peaking of greenhouse gas emissions as soon as possible to achieve a climate-neutral world.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chinese researchers believe that soil drought linked to climate change can no longer be offset by weather cycles. A challenge for the region&#8217;s crops and economy<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":23823,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[158,134],"tags":[190,201,187,239,222,188],"class_list":["post-23820","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-agricultural-industry","category-articles","tag-agriculture","tag-asia-en","tag-climate","tag-crops","tag-desertification","tag-research"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Central Asia will keep on suffering from agricultural drought<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"According to Chinese researchers climate change-related soil drought can no longer be offset by weather cycles\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, 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