{"id":21073,"date":"2022-10-13T11:27:58","date_gmt":"2022-10-13T09:27:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/articles\/russia-siccita-grano-ucraina\/"},"modified":"2022-10-17T10:36:16","modified_gmt":"2022-10-17T08:36:16","slug":"russia-drought-grain-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/economics-and-finance\/russia-drought-grain-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"Fears for global supply grow as drought hits crops in Russia"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Drought reduces sowing in Russia fueling implicit concerns for the world market. But the phenomenon also affects the rest of the Planet. And war threatens to further damage exports<\/h2>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">by Matteo Cavallito<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>All eyes are on <strong>Russia<\/strong>, but this time the war has nothing to do with it. Another phenomenon, which is affecting the country&#8217;s agricultural areas generating understandable concern, in fact, is also attracting the attention of observers: <strong>drought<\/strong>. &#8220;Low level of moisture reserves in soil in Russia&#8217;s southern breadbasket poses risks for the 2023 grain crop of the world&#8217;s largest wheat exporter,&#8221; Reuters <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nasdaq.com\/articles\/dry-soil-in-russias-south-poses-risk-for-2023-grain-crop-official\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">writes<\/a>, quoting the words of Roman Nekrasov, an official at the Ministry of Agriculture.<\/p>\n<p>A prospect, in short, that could create further tension on the global food market, already <a href=\"https:\/\/www.france24.com\/en\/europe\/20220317-war-in-ukraine-sparks-concerns-over-worldwide-food-shortages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">affected<\/a> by the effects of the <strong>Ukraine<\/strong> invasion and, more generally, by the bullish commodity spiral in place since 2021.<\/p>\n<div class='avia-iframe-wrap'>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"cyjZCGdgn3\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/ukraine-war-pollution-soil\/\">Ukraine will have to deal with war damages to agriculture for a century (at least)<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;Ukraine will have to deal with war damages to agriculture for a century (at least)&#8221; &#8212; Re Soil Foundation\" src=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/ukraine-war-pollution-soil\/embed\/#?secret=eFYBBUVUaM#?secret=cyjZCGdgn3\" data-secret=\"cyjZCGdgn3\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<h5>Drought threatens Russia&#8217;s wheat<\/h5>\n<p>So-called winter wheat, sown in the fall to be harvested in the summer, is the main contributor to the country&#8217;s production by far with a share of about <strong>70 percent<\/strong>. This crop, Reuters recalls, &#8220;brings a higher yield than spring varieties and is less vulnerable to weather.&#8221; Water scarcity, however, is no small problem.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>To date, the agency continues, moisture reserves are low in <strong>Krasnodar, Rostov and Stavropol<\/strong> regions, the country&#8217;s main granaries.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>It is hard, for the moment, to make accurate forecasts. But it is still unlikely that next year Russia will be able to repeat the performance of 2022 when crops generated <strong>150 million tons<\/strong> of grain.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/0zWPDb9L3Mg\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<h5>Tensions over exports<\/h5>\n<p>In the last weeks of September, rains eased the drought, prompting farmers to speed up the planting of fields. Despite this, however, <strong>Sovecon<\/strong> consulting firm warned, the shortfall compared to last year&#8217;s numbers remains clear. As of today, sown land in Russia totals 9.4 million hectares compared to 10.7 12 months ago.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The likely drop in supply for the global market adds to growing tensions in the industry. In July, <strong>Moscow and Kiev<\/strong> had signed a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2022\/07\/22\/world\/europe\/russia-ukraine-gain-deal.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">deal<\/a> to allow Ukrainian cargo ships to leave ports and cross the Black Sea. An essential condition to <strong>ensure supplies<\/strong> for the Planet.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>To date, however, the monitoring operations &#8211; which take place in Istanbul with the help of international inspectors &#8211; are proceeding increasingly slowly with obvious repercussions on availability for markets, the Financial Times <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/ea258113-ff60-4a2e-8f87-0ad8a39cddd0\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">says<\/a>. Recent war events, moreover, have helped push wheat prices <a href=\"https:\/\/farmpolicynews.illinois.edu\/2022\/10\/wheat-climbs-to-highest-price-since-june-as-black-sea-tensions-rise-transportation-variables-in-focus\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">higher again<\/a> amid fears that Russia may withdraw from the agreement signed this summer.<\/p>\n<div class='avia-iframe-wrap'>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"DNK5LVDKy0\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/europe-drought-soil-erosion\/\">See some WEF&#8217;s suggestions to protect European soil from drought emergency<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;See some WEF&#8217;s suggestions to protect European soil from drought emergency&#8221; &#8212; Re Soil Foundation\" src=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/europe-drought-soil-erosion\/embed\/#?secret=oTinRGxfXY#?secret=DNK5LVDKy0\" data-secret=\"DNK5LVDKy0\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<h5>Erosion and drought are a global problem<\/h5>\n<p>The problems, in any case, are not just linked to war. Drought and erosion are widespread phenomena everywhere, starting with the war zone itself.\u00a0 In Ukraine, for example, <a href=\"https:\/\/resoilfoundation.org\/en\/articles\/ukraine-russia-black-soil\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">it is estimated<\/a> that <strong>more than 500 million tons<\/strong> of land are eroded from arable soils each year, causing the loss of fertility in <strong>more than 32 million hectares<\/strong>. Added to this are the effects of climate change that would be particularly affecting the southern regions that produce 50 percent of the nation&#8217;s wheat.<\/p>\n<p>As for drought, there are concerns for many productive areas of the Planet. In major agricultural regions, <strong>from United States to France and China<\/strong>, the phenomenon &#8220;is shrinking grain harvests and cutting inventories, heightening the risk of famine in some of the world&#8217;s poorest nations,&#8221; Reuters <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/markets\/commodities\/droughts-ukraine-war-push-global-grain-stocks-toward-worrying-decade-low-2022-09-26\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">writes<\/a>. The United States, the world&#8217;s top corn producer, is expected to have its lowest harvest in three years. By the end of the 2022\/23 season, the agency says, world corn stocks will be enough for only 80 days of consumption. The lowest level in more than a decade.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Drought reduces sowing in Russia fueling implicit concerns for the world market. But the phenomenon also affects the rest of the Planet. And war threatens to further damage exports<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":21078,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[156,134],"tags":[190,187,222,224,221,186],"class_list":["post-21073","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economics-and-finance","category-articles","tag-agriculture","tag-climate","tag-desertification","tag-erosion","tag-food","tag-soil"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Fears for global supply grow as drought hits crops in Russia<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The deficit compared to last year is evident. 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